Download PDF Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto Book 1) By Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Ebook About Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the YearBook Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto Book 1) Review :
I can tolerate the ego-maniacal writing style, but I cannot abide the enormous errors the author commits when he delves into science.To wit: Taleb posits that Einstein proved Newton wrong. Not true. Einstein showed that Newtonian mechanics failed at the extremes - extremely large (cosmologic) and extremely small (atomic distances). Further, he posits that the poor schlep scientist's odds of success continue to increase as he does more mouse experiments. Untrue if the hypothesis under which the scientist is proceeding is ultimately incorrect. And finally, the author accepts global warming as a given and castigates science for not having recognized the truth of it from random weather events. Taleb, stick your knitting. It's one thing to be ignorant, but another to open one's mouth and remove all doubt. I have to confess that I stopped reading this book around page 130. The author says that many successes in investment may just be due to luck, that unexpected events can completely ruin a person, and that prudence in investing is a virtue. Fine. But this should take one paragraph not 130 pages. Yes, Talib quotes Solon, Descartes, Popper and all kind of philosophers. Yes he can speak 10 languages, he has a huge amount of knowledge. Still in this book, which seems to have been written in a hurry, he does not say anything of importance. Do not read it! Read Online Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto Book 1) Download Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto Book 1) Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto Book 1) PDF Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto Book 1) Mobi Free Reading Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto Book 1) Download Free Pdf Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto Book 1) PDF Online Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto Book 1) Mobi Online Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto Book 1) Reading Online Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto Book 1) Read Online Nassim Nicholas Taleb Download Nassim Nicholas Taleb Nassim Nicholas Taleb PDF Nassim Nicholas Taleb Mobi Free Reading Nassim Nicholas Taleb Download Free Pdf Nassim Nicholas Taleb PDF Online Nassim Nicholas Taleb Mobi Online Nassim Nicholas Taleb Reading Online Nassim Nicholas TalebDownload PDF Midnight Promises (A Sweet Magnolias Novel Book 8) By Sherryl Woods
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